Controlling drawdowns is the key to long-term wealth preservation
A 50% drawdown requires a 100% gain just to break even. That is why cutting losses matters more than chasing gains. The UIS Risk Rating gives you at least one month's advance warning of every Bear and Big Bear crash since 1997 — allowing you to exit on your terms, not in a panic.
Explore our guides below on cutting losses, why the UIS Risk Rating outperforms technical indicators, what to trade, and the full historical track record.
01How to Cut Losses and Drawdowns
The UIS Risk Rating helps you avoid the next big S&P500 crash by forecasting market conditions up to 12 months ahead. Exit calmly at the close on an up day, rather than scrambling out on a stop loss once the fall has already started.
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02Why the UIS Risk Rating Works Better
Most technical indicators lag — they signal on the day of a crash or later, after the first big fall has already happened. The UIS Risk Rating is predictive, based on forward-looking Earnings Estimates, so you get at least one month's advance warning.
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03What to Trade with UIS Risk Rating
The UIS Risk Rating works best with anything that tracks the S&P500 directly — the SPY ETF, ES and MES e-mini futures, SPX options, and the 500 companies in the index. It can also be applied to other US indices and overseas markets as a Bear crash warning.
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04Historical UIS Risk Ratings
Review the full monthly UIS Risk Rating history from September 1997. Every Bear and Big Bear crash since 1997 was identified in advance, with at least one month's warning. Compare the ratings against market history yourself.
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Sample UIS Risk Rating Report

